Proposal
Proposed Growth Strategy for Period 1 (Oct 25th, 2010)
It is important that we have a coherent growth plan that meets the needs of all citizens and allows us to defend successfully against the Barbarians in 47 days, If we work together we can grow rapidly and minimize the costs of defending for all of us.
Goals:
- increase the services provide to citizens
- allow those who want to, to upgrade their house to level 8.
- allow those who prefer to grow the city to make the most effective use of their contributions
- ensure that every one pays their fair share of the cost of defence.
- ensure that we minimize the number of city guard donatiosn required to defend what we build.
Proposed plan:
- Finish the library and then upgrade the arsenal ASAP. This will pay back in much fewer guard donations to make later.
- Those who want to upgrade houses to level 8 may then do so.
- Those who want to expand city may then do so,. The next expansion will be Town Hall (?).
- Make guard donations to defend (we may build a wall first)
- use remaining donations to make city upgrades that we can defend.
To be able to defend against the barbarian we cannot have too many culture points, so we ask that you :
- Not upgrade higher than level 8 house
- Not upgrade your clothes,
before the barbarian attack.
Our current estimate is that we would each have about 1.5 city guard donations to make.
City gold, while it lasts (currently 8), is available on request to make a city expansion donation. lets pull together and quickly make the library and arsenal expansions quickly.
Our original projections called for less growth so we had less to protect. It still makes sense to wait until the end of the period to make guard donations. We may build a wall that will make them worth more.
Scehario Analysis
Period 1 started Oct 13 and runs 60 days.
As of Oct 26, we have 47 days left
Background
Assuming 29 ACs. ACF = 15 + 0.8 (29 -15) = 15 + 14 X 0.8 = 26.2
Production for rest of period
| House level | Number | daily production | Total daily | weekly x 6 | Total weekly | 2 x monthly | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 9 | 1.2 | 507 | 4 x 6 | 216 | 30 | 743 |
| 4 | 8 | 1 | 376 | 3 x 6 | 144 | 30 | 550 |
Total: 1293 or 431 donations
Defence
Arsenal level 2: donations by end of period: 130
Culture points we can defend without additional donations: 130/50 * 18 = 47.
Culture points
| Arsenal | Town Hall | Library | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 12.5 | 10 | 15 |
| House level | Points |
| 5 | 20 |
| 8 | 60 |
costs
CIty expansion = 52 donations - 156 resources
Upgrade house level 5-8 = 23 res + 66 coins = 23 res + 11 res = 34 res.
Scenarios
Scenario 1: Focus on city expansion, freeze house level at 5
Production
Taking into account house upgrade costs:
We're asking all current level 5s to spend the rest of the period making 9 x (47 x1.2 + 6 X 4 + 2) / 3 = 9 x 82 / 3 =246 donations.
Level 4s upgrade first and will make: 8 x (40 x1.2 + 6 x 3 +1) / 3 = 8 x 67 / 3 = 176 donations
Level 3s upgrade first 9 x (35 x1.2 + 6 x 2 + 0) / 3 = 9 x 54 / 3 = 162 donations
TOTAL: 246 + 176 + 162 = 584 donations or about 11 expansions
Culture points
| House level | Points | number | Total | / ACF |
| 5 | 20 | 26 | 520 | 19.8 |
| Arsenal L2 L3 | Town Hall L2 L3 | Library L3 L3 | Market L2 L3 | Wall L1 L2 | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 x 2 | 12.5 x 2 | 10 x 2 | 15 x 2 | 5 x 2 | 100 |
And that still leaves us with 3 expansions.
Total culture points to defend: 110
Defence
Assume level 3 arsenal next upgrade: production by end of period: 35 x 2.5 = 87 donations
Total arsenal = 130 + 87 = 217 donations
Culture points protected: 217 * 18 / 50 = 78.2
Additional guard donations required: ((110 -78.2) / 18) x 26.2 = 46 donations or about 1.5 per AC.
Scenario 2: Build Arsenal L3 asap, upgrade to L8 or L5, then other expansions
Production
Upgrade from L5 to L8: 34 res about 18 days of production.
Taking into account house upgrade costs and time:
Assume 12 says to finish library and arsenal
and 18 days to upgrade to level 8.
level 5s upgrade first spend the rest of the period making 9 x (17 x1.5 + 2 X 4 + 2) / 3 = 9 x 35.5 / 3 = 105.5 donations.
Level 4s upgrade first and will make: 8 x (10 x1.5 + 2 x 3 +1) / 3 = 8 x 22 / 3 = 59 donations
Level 3s upgrade first 9 x (5 x1.5 + 2 x 2 + 0) / 3 = 9 x 11.5 / 3 = 35 donations
Total of 199 donations
Culture points
| House level | Points | number | Total | / ACF |
| 8 | 60 | 26 | 1560 | 59.7 |
| Arsenal L2 L3 | Town Hall L2 L3 | Library L3 L3 | Market L2 L3 | Wall L1 L2 | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 x 2 | 12.5 x0 | 10 x 1 | 15 x 0 | 5 x 0 | 25 |
Total culture points to defend : 95 (With clothes)
Proposal
Proposed Growth Strategy for Period 1 (Oct 25th, 2010)
It is important that we have a coherent growth plan that meets the needs of all citizens and allows us to defend successfully against the Barbarians in 47 days, If we work together we can grow rapidly and minimize the costs of defending for all of us.
Goals:
- increrase the services provide to citizens
- allow those who want to, to upgrade their house to level 8.
- allow those who prefer to grow the city to make the most effective use of their contributions
- ensure that every one pays their fair share of the cost of defence.
- ensure that we minimize the number of city guard donatiosn required to defend what we build.
Proposed plan:
- Finish the library and then upgrade the arsenal ASAP. This will pay back in much fewer guard donations to make later.
#Those who want to upgrade houses to level 8 may then do so.
- Those who want to expand city may then do so,. The next expansion will be Town Hall (?).
- Make guard donations to defend (we may build a wall first)
- use remaining donations to make city upgrades that we can defend.
To be able to defend against the barbarian we cannot have too many culture points, so we ask that you :
- Not upgrade higher than level 8 house
- Not upgrade your clothes,
before the barbarian attack.
Our current estimate is that we would each have about 1.5 city guard donations to make.
City gold, while it lasts (currently 8), is available on request to make a city expansion donation. lets pull together and quickly make the library and arsenal expansions quickly.
Our original projections called for less growth so we had less to protect. It still makes sense to wait until the end of the period to make guard donations. We may build a wall that will make them worth more.
